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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Chiffi
Lazio
S T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Chievo
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,2
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
47%
3%
Points per game
1,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
25 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 7. · Chievo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 32 20 7 5 +33 67
3 Inter 32 18 6 8 +24 60
4 Milan 33 15 11 7 +16 56
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 32 15 8 9 +23 53
7 Lazio 32 15 7 10 +13 52
8 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
9 Sampdoria 32 14 6 12 +12 48
10 Fiorentina 32 8 16 8 +7 40
11 Sassuolo 32 8 13 11 -5 37
12 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
13 Parma 33 9 9 15 -17 36
14 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
15 Genoa 32 8 10 14 -16 34
16 Udinese 32 8 8 16 -16 32
17 Bologna 32 7 10 15 -16 31
18 Empoli 32 7 8 17 -19 29
19 Frosinone 32 5 8 19 -33 23
20 Chievo 32 1 11 20 -45 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Chievo
Luiz Felipe 🔁
↦ Ş. Radu
16′
Sergej Milinković-Savić 🟥
34′
M. Parolo 🔁
↦ Patric
39′
40′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
Half-time 0–1
49′
Emanuel Vignato 0–1
M. Stępiński
51′
P. Hetemaj 0–2
F. Depaoli
55′
🟨 Nicola Rigoni
J. Correa 🔁
↦ M. Badelj
58′
1–2 F. Caicedo
J. Correa
67′
68′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ N. Rigoni
73′
🟨 Assane Dioussé
77′
🔁 S. Kiyine
↦ Emanuel Vignato
83′
🔁 S. Pellissier
↦ M. Stępiński
Luis Alberto 🟥
90′
90′
🟨 Përparim Hetemaj
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
14 R. Durmisi D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić M
25 M. Badelj M
10 Luis Alberto F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
20 F. Caicedo F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
3 Luiz Felipe
16 M. Parolo
11 J. Correa
13 Wallace
24 S. Proto
19 S. Lulić
32 D. Cataldi
66 Bruno Jordão
30 Pedro Neto
27 Rômulo
15 Bastos
23 G. Guerrieri

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Chievo

4-3-1-2
1 A. Šemper G
12 B. Cesar D
5 F. Barba D
14 M. Bani D
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
27 F. Depaoli D
11 M. Léris M
55 Emanuel Vignato F
69 R. Meggiorini F
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
8 A. Dioussé
13 S. Kiyine
31 S. Pellissier
10 M. Pucciarelli
25 S. Grubac
67 E. Caprile
40 N. Tomović
6 N. Frey
7 Lucas Piazon
18 I. Karamoko
33 M. Andreolli
43 A. Ndrecka

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Chiffi · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.