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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Dijon
S T U T S
3–3
Full-time
Montpellier
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 14. · Montpellier 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 7 5 2 0 +8 17
2 Paris SG 8 5 1 2 +11 16
3 Monaco 7 5 1 1 +6 16
4 Toulouse 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Bordeaux 8 4 1 3 +1 13
6 Metz 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Rennes 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 St Etienne 7 3 3 1 +4 12
9 Guingamp 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Lyon 7 3 1 3 +4 10
11 Bastia 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Angers 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Marseille 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Dijon 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Caen 7 2 1 4 -8 7
16 Montpellier 7 1 3 3 -6 6
17 Lorient 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Nancy 7 1 2 4 -6 5
20 Lille 7 1 1 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Montpellier
18′
C. Ninga 0–1
J. Roussillon
25′
C. Ninga 0–2
M. Sanson
0–3 G. Jourdren
own goal
39′
Half-time 0–3
J. Bela 🔁
↦ D. Bahamboula
46′
J. Gastien 🔁
↦ J. Marié
46′
58′
C. Ninga 0–4
M. Sanson
66′
🟨 Ryad Boudebouz
Y. Rivière 🔁
↦ P. Lees Melou
67′
Johan Gastien 🟨
68′
0–5 A. Vanden Borre
own goal
81′
82′
🔁 S. Sessègnon
↦ M. Sanson
84′
🟨 Casimir Ninga
84′
🔁 M. Deplagne
↦ S. Mounié
Mehdi Abeid 🟨
88′
1–5 Y. Rivière
V. Rüfli
90′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
23 V. Rüfli D
2 Á. Lang D
26 F. Chafik D
18 F. Sammaritano M
17 M. Abeid M
14 J. Marié M
24 D. Bahamboula M
8 P. Lees Melou M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
10 J. Bela
22 J. Gastien
7 Y. Rivière
1 B. Leroy
4 J. Lotiès
5 Q. Bernard
21 Y. Abdelhamid

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Montpellier

4-3-1-2
16 G. Jourdren G
4 Hilton D
20 A. Vanden Borre D
21 W. Rémy D
24 J. Roussillon D
10 R. Boudebouz M
5 Y. Sylla M
8 M. Sanson M
13 E. Skhiri M
29 C. Ninga F
15 S. Mounié F
Bench (7)
28 S. Sessègnon
25 M. Deplagne
11 K. Bérigaud
19 S. Camara
1 L. Pionnier
18 N. Saint-Ruf
2 M. N'Diaye

Coach: F. Hantz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.