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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Swansea
T T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Liverpool
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 17. · Liverpool 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 6 6 0 0 +13 18
2 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Everton 7 4 2 1 +6 14
4 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Liverpool 6 4 1 1 +7 13
6 Man United 6 4 0 2 +5 12
7 Crystal Palace 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Southampton 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 West Brom 6 2 2 2 +1 8
11 Watford 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Leicester 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Burnley 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Hull 6 2 1 3 -5 7
15 Bournemouth 6 2 1 3 -5 7
16 Middlesbrough 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Swansea 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 West Ham 6 1 0 5 -9 3
19 Stoke 6 0 2 4 -11 2
20 Sunderland 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Liverpool
1–0 L. Fer
8′
23′
🔁 D. Sturridge
↦ A. Lallana
25′
🟨 Jordan Henderson
Jack Cork 🟨
38′
39′
🟨 Daniel Sturridge
Half-time 1–0
Leon Britton 🟨
53′
54′
Roberto Firmino 1–1
J. Henderson
M. Barrow 🔁
↦ W. Routledge
62′
Sung-Yeung Ki 🔁
↦ L. Britton
63′
J. Fulton 🔁
↦ L. Fer
72′
84′
J. Milner 1–2
85′
🔁 E. Can
↦ G. Wijnaldum
85′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ Roberto Firmino
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-3
1 Ł. Fabiański G
26 K. Naughton D
22 Àngel Rangel D
2 Jordi Amat D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
15 W. Routledge F
24 J. Cork M
8 L. Fer M
7 L. Britton M
23 G. Sigurðsson F
10 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
17 M. Barrow
4 Sung-Yeung Ki
56 J. Fulton
3 N. Taylor
6 A. Mawson
13 K. Nordfeldt
62 O. McBurnie

Coach: F. Guidolin

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 L. Karius G
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
32 J. Matip D
7 J. Milner D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
20 A. Lallana M
14 J. Henderson M
10 Philippe Coutinho F
11 Roberto Firmino F
19 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
15 D. Sturridge
23 E. Can
27 D. Origi
17 R. Klavan
18 Alberto Moreno
21 Lucas Leiva
22 S. Mignolet

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.