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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Alexandre Da Silva Esteves

Rio Ave

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Estoril

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 6. · Estoril 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Porto	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Belenenses	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Feirense	6	3	0	3	-3	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Nacional	6	2	0	4	-1	6
13	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Arouca	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Moreirense	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Estoril	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Tondela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Nacional	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Estoril	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Arouca	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.