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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Vitesse
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Groningen
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Groningen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 7 7 0 0 +19 21
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Twente 7 4 0 3 +2 12
6 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Vitesse 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Excelsior 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Den Haag 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Groningen 7 1 3 3 -4 6
13 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
14 Nijmegen 7 1 3 3 -7 6
15 Utrecht 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Roda 7 0 3 4 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Groningen
Milot Rashica 🟨
4′
4′
D. Hoesen 0–1
Adnane Tighadouini 🟨
25′
43′
🟨 Jason Davidson
1–1 L. Baker
44′
Half-time 1–1
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
46′
46′
🔁 M. van der Laan
↦ J. Davidson
65′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ M. Mahi
2–1 K. Leerdam
76′
78′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ B. Linssen
M. Miazga 🔁
↦ N. Foor
86′
Nathan 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
Bench (8)
16 M. van Bergen
19 M. Miazga
11 Nathan
8 K. Ota
14 A. Dauda
20 M. Osman
23 M. Tørnes
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
2 J. Davidson M
3 K. Larsen D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Jenssen M
24 T. Hiariej M
5 S. Memišević D
9 D. Hoesen F
11 B. Linssen F
14 M. Mahi M
45 O. Idrissi F
Bench (10)
21 M. van der Laan
13 A. Sørloth
19 T. van Weert
10 A. Rusnák
12 J. Bacuna
16 S. van der Lei
20 Y. van Nieff
22 S. Tibbling
23 H. Maduro
32 N. Borgman

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.