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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Troyes

U S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Montpellier

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

1,8

1,6

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 8

0 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 15. · Montpellier 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Monaco	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Bordeaux	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	St Etienne	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Caen	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Angers	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	Nantes	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Marseille	5	2	1	2	-3	7
10	Toulouse	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Nice	5	2	0	3	+1	6
12	Guingamp	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Amiens	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Rennes	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Lille	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Montpellier	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Nice	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Lille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Dijon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Troyes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+1	6
3	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Nantes	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Lille	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Strasbourg	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.