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Ligue 1

Referee: Karim Abed

Metz

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Troyes

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Metz 20. · Troyes 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Monaco	7	6	0	1	+13	18
3	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Bordeaux	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Nice	7	3	1	3	+2	10
7	Marseille	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Caen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
10	Guingamp	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Angers	7	1	5	1	+1	8
12	Montpellier	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Toulouse	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Amiens	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Rennes	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Lille	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Metz	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Nice	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Lille	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Angers	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
4	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+1	6
5	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Nantes	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Marseille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Lyon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Caen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Metz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Nice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Strasbourg	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.