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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Toulouse

T T U U T

1–0

Full-time

Montpellier

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

25 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 13. · Montpellier 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nice	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.