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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Strasbourg
T T U S T
3–0
Full-time
Dijon
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 13. · Dijon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 St Etienne 8 4 3 1 +1 15
3 Lyon 7 4 1 2 +7 13
4 Marseille 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Lille 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Toulouse 7 3 2 2 -2 11
8 Angers 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Dijon 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Bordeaux 7 3 1 3 -1 10
11 Nice 8 3 1 4 -6 10
12 Nimes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Strasbourg 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Reims 7 2 2 3 -5 8
15 Amiens 7 2 1 4 -2 7
16 Caen 7 1 4 2 -2 7
17 Rennes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Guingamp 7 0 1 6 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Dijon
1–0 Nuno Da Costa
A. Thomasson
13′
22′
🟨 Jules Keita
31′
🟨 Cédric Yambéré
Jonas Martin 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ Júlio Tavares
53′
🔁 M. Abeid
↦ R. Amalfitano
63′
🟨 Wesley Lautoa
68′
🔁 Y. Gourcuff
↦ J. Keita
L. Mothiba 🔁
↦ L. Zohi
74′
2–0 L. Mothiba
Nuno Da Costa
81′
B. Corgnet 🔁
↦ Nuno Da Costa
82′
3–0 J. Martin
B. Corgnet
92′
Y. Fofana 🔁
↦ J. Martin
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-4-1-2
1 M. Sels G
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
27 K. Lala D
4 P. Martinez D
19 A. Caci D
8 J. Martin M
26 A. Thomasson M
18 I. Sissoko M
20 L. Zohi F
29 Nuno Da Costa F
Bench (7)
12 L. Mothiba
10 B. Corgnet
33 Y. Fofana
5 L. Koné
9 I. Saadi
11 D. Liénard
30 B. Kamara

Coach: T. Laurey

Dijon

3-4-2-1
1 R. Rúnarsson G
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
25 S. Coulibaly D
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
23 J. Keita F
11 Júlio Tavares F
Bench (7)
9 W. Saïd
8 M. Abeid
28 Y. Gourcuff
6 L. Ciman
15 F. Balmont
16 B. Allain
26 F. Chafik

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.