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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Juventus

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Napoli

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Napoli 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Napoli	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Sassuolo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Lazio	7	4	0	3	+1	12
5	Roma	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+7	10
7	Inter	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Genoa	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Spal	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
11	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Parma	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	+1	6
14	Milan	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Torino	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Roma	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Lazio	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
6	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Torino	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Milan	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.