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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Leverkusen

T T T S S

2–4

Full-time

Dortmund

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 12. · Dortmund 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Dortmund	5	3	2	0	+12	11
4	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
11	Freiburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Leverkusen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Schalke 04	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Hannover	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hertha	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Dortmund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Nurnberg	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.