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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Reims
T S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
18%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 11. · Strasbourg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 17 9 4 4 +10 31
3 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
4 Lyon 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
6 St Etienne 16 7 5 4 +3 26
7 Nice 16 7 4 5 -2 25
8 Strasbourg 17 5 8 4 +6 23
9 Nimes 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Rennes 17 6 5 6 -2 23
11 Reims 17 5 7 5 -4 22
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 16 4 6 6 -10 18
16 Dijon 17 4 4 9 -12 16
17 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
18 Caen 17 2 8 7 -7 14
19 Monaco 16 3 4 9 -8 13
20 Guingamp 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Strasbourg
1–0 M. Doumbia
6′
Half-time 1–1
48′
A. Thomasson 1–1
M. Cafaro 🔁
↦ M. Martin
64′
2–1 M. Cafaro
65′
66′
🔁 B. Corgnet
↦ L. Ajorque
Jacques-Alaixys Romao 🟨
71′
76′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
76′
🔁 L. Zohi
↦ A. Caci
A. Ndom 🔁
↦ M. Doumbia
77′
83′
🔁 Nuno Da Costa
↦ I. Sissoko
S. Ojo 🔁
↦ Suk Hyun-Jun
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
16 E. Mendy G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
2 B. Engels D
32 T. Foket D
3 G. Konan D
8 M. Martin M
4 A. Romao M
7 X. Chavalerin M
25 M. Doumbia M
10 Suk Hyun-Jun F
18 R. Oudin M
Bench (7)
24 M. Cafaro
17 A. Ndom
11 S. Ojo
1 J. Carrasso
6 A. Disasi
20 T. Dingomé
26 N. Mbemba

Coach: D. Guion

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
27 K. Lala D
4 P. Martinez D
19 A. Caci D
8 J. Martin M
26 A. Thomasson M
18 I. Sissoko M
25 L. Ajorque F
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
10 B. Corgnet
20 L. Zohi
29 Nuno Da Costa
11 D. Liénard
16 E. Kawashima
33 I. Aaneba
34 Y. Fofana

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.