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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Boavista
T U U T U
2–0
Full-time
Tondela
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
0,8
3,5
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
42%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
58%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 11
2 Offside 3
24 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Tondela 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 12 10 0 2 +19 30
2 Sp Braga 13 9 3 1 +16 30
3 Sp Lisbon 12 9 1 2 +13 28
4 Benfica 12 8 2 2 +13 26
5 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 +5 21
6 Rio Ave 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Belenenses 12 4 6 2 +1 18
8 Santa Clara 12 5 2 5 +1 17
9 Vitoria Setubal 13 5 2 6 +0 17
10 Portimonense 13 5 2 6 -6 17
11 Moreirense 12 5 1 6 -6 16
12 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -8 13
13 Maritimo 12 3 2 7 -8 11
14 Boavista 12 2 4 6 -7 10
15 Aves 12 3 1 8 -8 10
16 Feirense 13 2 4 7 -12 10
17 Tondela 12 2 3 7 -4 9
18 Chaves 12 2 1 9 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Tondela
1–0 Matheus Índio
Rafael Lopes
16′
2–0 Rafael Lopes
Fábio Espinho
34′
41′
🔁 Tómané
↦ Patrick
41′
🔁 C. Arango
↦ Mendes
42′
🟨 Cristian Arango
Half-time 2–0
Mateus 🔁
↦ Rochinha
55′
62′
🟨 Hélder Tavares
David Simao 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 J. Delgado
↦ J. Murillo
79′
🟨 Fahd Moufi
André Claro 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
83′
85′
🟨 Xavier
Mateus 🟨
90′
K. Ibrahim 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
2 Gonçalo Cardoso D
8 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
23 Rafael Costa M
31 Matheus Índio M
7 Rochinha M
33 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (7)
9 Mateus
18 André Claro
19 K. Ibrahim
1 Rafael Bracalli
3 Raphael Silva
21 A. Tahar
42 I. Mandiang

Coach: Jorge Simão

Tondela

4-4-2
1 Cláudio Ramos G
20 Ricardo Costa D
23 Joãozinho D
2 Icaro D
18 F. Moufi D
16 S. Peña M
25 Mendes M
8 Hélder Tavares M
14 J. Murillo F
7 António Xavier M
9 Patrick F
Bench (7)
19 Tómané
70 C. Arango
15 J. Delgado
17 João Reis
27 Bruno Monteiro
28 Pedro Silva
34 Ricardo Alves

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.