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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Eupen
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
39%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Corners 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 12. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 18 8 7 3 +10 31
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Antwerp 12 9 1 2 +11 28
4 Gent 13 8 2 3 +12 26
5 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
6 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
7 Anderlecht 12 7 3 2 +10 24
8 Kortrijk 19 6 6 7 -4 24
9 Cercle Brugge 18 6 4 8 -12 22
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
12 Eupen 18 6 1 11 -16 19
13 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Lokeren 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron
9′
🟨 Benjamin van Durmen
32′
🟨 Fabrice Olinga
45′
🟨 Marko Bakić
Half-time 0–0
Eric Ocansey 🔁
↦ Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
54′
1–0 Morteza Pouraliganji
59′
64′
🔁 Manuel Benson
↦ Benjamin van Durmen
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga 🔁
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
76′
81′
🟨 Frank Boya
Cheick Keita 🟨
86′
Nils Schouterden 🔁
↦ Cheick Keita
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eupen

4-3-3
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
22 Siebe Blondelle D
26 Morteza Pouraliganji D
3 Cheick Keita D
24 Silas Gnaka D
8 Remi Mulumba M
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani M
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
10 Luis Garcia F
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
70 Mamadou Fall F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
44 Xavier Molina
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
18 Nils Schouterden
11 Megan Laurent
28 Eric Ocansey
23 Samuel Essende

Coach: C. Makélélé

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
15 Frank Boya M
31 Bruno Godeau D
24 Nikola Gulan M
2 Marko Bakić M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
18 Mbaye Leye F
7 Fabrice Olinga F
19 Andrés Sarmiento F
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
Bench (7)
1 Olivier Werner
13 Giorgos Galitsios
21 Manuel Benson
26 Bilal Chibani
99 Idrisa Sambu
9 Yannis Mbombo
77 Mićo Kuzmanović

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.