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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Vitesse

S T S U T

2–1

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 32%

31%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

46%

47%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

13 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 10. · VVV Venlo 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	15	0	1	+50	45
2	Ajax	15	13	1	1	+42	40
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+17	35
4	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	4	5	+6	25
5	Heracles	15	7	2	6	-3	23
6	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+7	22
7	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	VVV Venlo	15	5	5	5	-4	20
9	Den Haag	16	5	4	7	-11	19
10	Vitesse	13	4	4	5	+0	16
11	For Sittard	15	4	4	7	-3	16
12	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-10	16
13	Excelsior	16	4	4	8	-19	16
14	Zwolle	16	4	3	9	-11	15
15	Groningen	14	4	2	8	-5	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	5	7	-16	14
17	NAC Breda	16	3	3	10	-19	12
18	De Graafschap	15	3	2	10	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+32	24
2	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+15	24
3	Ajax	7	6	1	0	+22	19
4	Heracles	8	6	0	2	+8	18
5	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	For Sittard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	NAC Breda	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	De Graafschap	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Excelsior	8	2	3	3	-7	9
12	Vitesse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-6	8
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	FC Emmen	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Willem II	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Zwolle	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+20	21
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Willem II	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Vitesse	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-9	8
11	FC Emmen	7	2	2	3	-10	8
12	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Excelsior	8	2	1	5	-12	7
14	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	7	0	2	5	-15	2
18	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.