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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Nijmegen
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Nijmegen 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Heracles 6 5 0 1 +10 15
3 Zwolle 6 4 2 0 +8 14
4 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 PSV Eindhoven 6 3 2 1 +9 11
6 Vitesse 7 3 2 2 +6 11
7 Roda 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Groningen 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Nijmegen 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -2 7
12 Den Haag 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 1 2 3 -4 5
15 Excelsior 6 1 1 4 -5 4
16 Twente 6 0 3 3 -6 3
17 Cambuur 7 0 3 4 -16 3
18 De Graafschap 6 0 0 6 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Nijmegen
20′
🟨 Marcel Ritzmaier
1–0 L. de Jong ⚽
38′
Half-time 1–0
M. Lestienne 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
46′
60′
🟨 Lucas Woudenberg
Santiago Arias 🟨
63′
63′
⚽ C. Santos 1–1
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ S. Schaars
72′
2–1 J. Locadia ⚽
M. Lestienne
76′
80′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ W. Golla
R. Vloet 🔁
↦ J. Hendrix
82′
89′
🔁 M. Roman
↦ N. Foor
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet G
14 S. Poulsen D
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
5 J. Bruma D
8 S. Schaars M
6 D. Pröpper M
29 J. Hendrix M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
19 J. Locadia F
Bench (7)
16 M. Lestienne
7 G. Pereiro
23 R. Vloet
10 A. Maher
20 J. Brenet
22 R. Pasveer
30 J. de Wijs

Nijmegen

1 H. Halldórsson G
3 R. van Eijden D
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
15 L. Woudenberg D
24 M. Ritzmaier M
8 G. Breinburg M
25 N. Foor M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
10 A. Limbombe F
Bench (7)
20 M. Rayhi
17 M. Roman
5 B. Buysse
7 S. Lundholm
9 J. Sleegers
13 B. Kirsten
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.