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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Heracles
U T S U U
2–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
47%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 53%
42%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 7. · Zwolle 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 15 5 1 +31 50
2 Ajax 21 15 4 2 +36 49
3 Feyenoord 21 11 3 7 +12 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 10 4 8 +4 34
5 Nijmegen 21 10 4 7 +4 34
6 Vitesse 22 9 6 7 +18 33
7 Heracles 19 9 5 5 +4 32
8 Groningen 20 8 7 5 -1 31
9 Zwolle 19 8 5 6 +5 29
10 Heerenveen 22 8 5 9 -8 29
11 Den Haag 22 6 9 7 -1 27
12 Roda 22 5 9 8 -15 24
13 Utrecht 18 6 5 7 +0 23
14 Twente 22 6 4 12 -19 22
15 Willem II 22 4 9 9 -4 21
16 Excelsior 22 4 7 11 -16 19
17 Cambuur 21 2 7 12 -27 13
18 De Graafschap 21 3 2 16 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Nov -15 Zwolle – Heracles 1–1

Match report

Heracles Zwolle
9′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ B. van Polen
Robin Gosens 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 I. Bel Hassani
54′
62′
🔁 S. Thomas
↦ Q. Menig
J. Navrátil 🔁
↦ T. Kada
64′
Gonzalo García 🔁
↦ B. Darri
77′
2–0 J. Navrátil
Gonzalo García
81′
M. Heerkes 🔁
↦ W. Droste
84′
84′
🔁 W. Marinus
↦ S. Becker
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Heracles

1 B. Castro G
18 R. Zomer D
12 W. Droste D
3 M. te Wierik D
21 R. Gosens M
8 I. Bel Hassani M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
7 B. Darri F
19 W. Weghorst F
11 T. Kada F
Bench (7)
15 J. Navrátil
22 Gonzalo García
24 M. Heerkes
4 G. Bosz
9 P. Gladon
25 R. Fij
20 P. van Ooijen

Zwolle

1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
28 T. Lam D
20 K. Ehizibue D
14 W. Brama M
10 S. Nijland M
19 R. Dekker M
9 L. Veldwijk F
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (7)
7 S. Becker
42 S. Thomas
18 W. Marinus
45 M. Bruintjes
23 D. Tanda
48 T. Evre
25 B. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.