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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Feyenoord
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 89%
100%
78%
Points per game
3,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,4
Conceded
0,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Ajax 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 9 9 0 0 +22 27
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +14 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 6 3 1 +12 21
4 Heerenveen 8 5 2 1 +11 17
5 Twente 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 Vitesse 10 4 3 3 +4 15
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 3 4 -1 12
9 Utrecht 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Den Haag 10 3 2 5 -6 11
11 Excelsior 10 3 1 6 -7 10
12 Nijmegen 10 2 4 4 -7 10
13 Zwolle 10 2 3 5 -11 9
14 Heracles 9 1 5 3 -3 8
15 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Willem II 10 1 4 5 -9 7
17 Roda 10 1 4 5 -11 7
18 Groningen 9 1 3 5 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Ajax
Half-time 0–1
55′
K. Dolberg 0–1
H. Ziyech
56′
🟨 Bertrand Traoré
E. Elia 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
60′
61′
🟨 Joël Veltman
63′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
Karim El Ahmadi 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 M. Dijks
↦ D. Sinkgraven
70′
🔁 A. El Ghazi
↦ A. Younes
S. Berghuis 🔁
↦ B. Basaçikoglu
71′
Jan-Arie Van der Heijden 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 R. Bazoer
↦ H. Ziyech
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ J. van der Heijden
81′
1–1 D. Kuijt
E. Elia
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
9 N. Jørgensen F
14 B. Basaçikoglu M
Bench (11)
11 E. Elia
19 S. Berghuis
29 M. Kramer
5 M. Vejinovic
15 L. Woudenberg
18 M. Nelom
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
26 B. Nieuwkoop
27 Simon Gustafson
30 P. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
26 N. Viergever D
3 J. Veltman D
5 D. Sánchez D
10 D. Klaassen M
22 H. Ziyech M
8 D. Sinkgraven D
20 L. Schöne M
9 B. Traoré F
11 A. Younes F
25 K. Dolberg F
Bench (9)
35 M. Dijks
7 A. El Ghazi
6 R. Bazoer
2 K. Tete
4 J. Riedewald
16 H. Westermann
19 M. Casierra
30 D. van de Beek
33 D. Boer

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.