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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
AZ Alkmaar
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
32 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 11. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Twente 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
18′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
28′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
28′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
28′
🟥 Wilfried Kanon
1–0 W. Weghorst
29′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ M. Lorenzen
Wout Weghorst 🟨
61′
L. Garcia 🔁
↦ D. dos Santos
65′
2–0 G. Til
M. Vejinovic
70′
Levi García 🟨
73′
F. Friday 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
74′
M. Seuntjens 🔁
↦ M. Vejinovic
76′
81′
🔁 E. Duplan
↦ S. Becker
83′
🔁 D. Ladan
↦ B. Johnsen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan D
10 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. van Overeem M
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
19 D. dos Santos F
Bench (8)
28 L. Garcia
27 F. Friday
20 M. Seuntjens
35 T. Koopmeiners
12 P. Hatzidiakos
16 G. Coutinho
26 O. Wijndal
17 J. Helmer

Coach: J. van den Brom

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
6 D. Gorter M
10 L. Immers M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
33 M. Lorenzen F
Bench (10)
77 E. Hooi
21 E. Duplan
14 D. Ladan
18 T. Coremans
3 T. Meißner
15 B. Kuipers
19 D. van der Heijden
27 T. David
16 H. Asmelash
24 J. van der Sar

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.