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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven
S U S U S
3–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
25 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -17 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 2–4 14. Aug -16 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 2. Apr -16 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 2–4 29. Nov -15 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 3–0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
8′
🔁 D. dos Santos
↦ C. Stengs
18′
⚽ D. dos Santos 0–1
W. Weghorst
1–1 H. Lozano ⚽
J. Hendrix
31′
K. Paal 🔁
↦ J. Brenet
32′
39′
🟨 Marko Vejinović
Half-time 2–1
2–1 G. Pereiro ⚽
D. Schwaab
48′
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
67′
73′
🔁 M. Seuntjens
↦ G. Til
3–1 M. van Ginkel ⚽
76′
79′
🟨 Ron Vlaar
81′
⚽ W. Weghorst 3–2
83′
🔁 L. Garcia
↦ M. Vejinovic
J. de Wijs 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
85′
90′
🟨 Mats Seuntjens
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
32 K. Paal
23 B. Ramselaar
30 J. de Wijs
16 D. Rigo
31 Y. van Osch
9 L. de Jong
18 P. Rosario
14 S. Lammers
29 Albert Gudmundsson
25 A. Maher
41 M. van de Meulenhof

Coach: P. Cocu

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan D
10 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. van Overeem M
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
29 C. Stengs F
Bench (10)
19 D. dos Santos
20 M. Seuntjens
28 L. Garcia
27 F. Friday
35 T. Koopmeiners
12 P. Hatzidiakos
16 G. Coutinho
26 O. Wijndal
17 J. Helmer
3 R. van Eijden

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.