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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Utrecht
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Zwolle
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 17. · Zwolle 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Zwolle
1–0 J. van Overeem
S. Klaiber
26′
2–0 S. Klaiber
Simon Gustafson
44′
45′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. van den Berg
↦ D. Marcellis
Urby Emanuelson 🟨
50′
61′
🔁 D. Genreau
↦ Z. Flemming
Joris Van Overeem 🟥
66′
T. Letschert 🔁
↦ Simon Gustafson
71′
Sean Klaiber 🟨
73′
81′
🔁 S. Elbers
↦ Y. Namli
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
84′
M. van der Maarel 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
41 M. Paes G
14 W. Janssen D
13 E. Bergström D
5 L. Guwara D
17 S. Klaiber D
28 U. Emanuelson M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
15 T. Letschert
11 C. Dessers
2 M. van der Maarel
19 P. Joosten
9 S. Makienok
26 O. Boussaid
3 R. Leeuwin
21 O. Tannane
31 T. Nijhuis

Coach: J. de Jong

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
29 D. Lachman D
20 K. Ehizibue D
8 C. Leemans M
21 Y. Namli F
14 Z. Flemming M
6 G. Hamer M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (9)
33 S. van den Berg
17 D. Genreau
25 S. Elbers
40 M. Hauptmeijer
15 R. Ligeon
16 M. van der Hart
22 T. van den Belt
11 T. Ondaan
19 R. Dekker

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.