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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
FC Emmen
S
1–4
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,8
Scored
2,0
3,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 6. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen AZ Alkmaar
15′
⚽ M. Boadu 0–1
M. Seuntjens
1–1 N. Bakker ⚽
K. Veendorp
17′
29′
🟨 Oussama Idrissi
37′
⚽ T. Ouwejan 1–2
F. Midtsjø
43′
⚽ O. Idrissi 1–3
Half-time 1–3
65′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ F. Midtsjø
M. Chacón 🔁
↦ W. Marinus
70′
J. Arias 🔁
↦ H. Ben Moussa
70′
71′
⚽ O. Idrissi 1–4
M. Boadu
72′
🔁 B. Johnsen
↦ O. Idrissi
C. Peters 🔁
↦ A. Jansen
77′
77′
🔁 D. Rotariu
↦ M. Boadu
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-4-2
12 K. Scherpen G
5 G. Klok D
22 C. Cavlan D
4 N. Bakker D
13 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl M
7 W. Marinus M
8 H. Ben Moussa M
9 N. Pedersen F
6 A. Jansen F
17 L. Slagveer F
Bench (9)
20 M. Chacón
25 J. Arias
11 C. Peters
3 T. Siekman
1 P. van der Vlag
2 S. Gronsveld
26 D. Telgenkamp
15 E. Suliman
30 H. Bos

Coach: D. Lukkien

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
11 O. Idrissi F
21 M. Boadu F
Bench (6)
28 A. Gudmundsson
9 B. Johnsen
14 D. Rotariu
25 J. Schendelaar
42 M. Savastano
23 L. Bergsma

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.