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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Feyenoord
S S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Excelsior
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
23 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 15. · Excelsior 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Excelsior
1–0 R. van Persie
S. Larsson
17′
27′
🔁 D. Mahmudov
↦ A. Hadouir
Half-time 1–0
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
59′
J. St. Juste 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
65′
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
70′
76′
🔁 J. Caenepeel
↦ E. Ómarsson
2–0 J. St. Juste
Y. Ayoub
77′
86′
🔁 C. Fermina
↦ M. Anderson
3–0 J. van der Heijden
R. van Persie
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 J. Bijlow G
6 J. van der Heijden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
3 S. van Beek D
15 T. Malacia D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (11)
27 M. El Hankouri
4 J. St. Juste
18 Y. Ayoub
1 K. Vermeer
13 J. Delle
17 L. Sinisterra
20 R. Tapia
29 C. Verdonk
34 D. Vente
35 W. Burger
38 L. Geertruida

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Excelsior

4-3-3
20 S. Stevens G
28 L. Burnet D
15 J. Mattheij D
3 H. Matthys D
7 A. Hadouir F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
14 A. Messaoud M
19 M. Anderson M
6 J. Schouten M
9 E. Ómarsson F
Bench (8)
24 D. Mahmudov
11 J. Caenepeel
32 C. Fermina
1 A. Damen
4 T. Oude Kotte
5 R. van der Meer
21 D. Haspolat
23 M. de Fockert

Coach: A. Poldervaart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.