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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

For Sittard

U T T U S

4–4

Full-time

Willem II

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

100%

40%

Average goals

3,2

3,6

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 10. · Willem II 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Heracles	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+7	8
6	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Willem II	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	-6	7
9	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-6	6
10	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Vitesse	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Excelsior	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	NAC Breda	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
5	Vitesse	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.