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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Sp Braga
S T
4–0
Full-time
Boavista
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 10. · Boavista 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 Arouca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Vitoria Setubal 3 1 2 0 +4 5
5 Rio Ave 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Pacos Ferreira 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 U. Madeira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Nacional 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Estoril 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Belenenses 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Moreirense 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Academica 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Boavista
1–0 N.S. Vukčević ⚽
16′
18′
🔁 M. Uchebo
↦ Leozinho
Mauro 🟨
35′
45′
🟨 Zé Manuel
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N.S. Vukčević ⚽
58′
59′
🟨 Anderson Carvalho
59′
🔁 Diego Lima
↦ Tengarrinha
Koka 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Pinho
61′
64′
🟨 Michael Uchebo
Alan 🔁
↦ Joan Román
66′
3–0 Crislan ⚽
67′
75′
🔁 I. Mandiang
↦ Zé Manuel
77′
🟨 Reuben Gabriel
83′
🟨 Philipe Sampaio
4–0 Alan ⚽
84′
Rafa Silva 🔁
↦ Crislan
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

1 S. Kritsyuk G
6 André Pinto D
15 Baiano D
5 W. Boly D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
63 Mauro M
35 N.S. Vukčević M
10 Joan Román M
23 Pedro Santos M
9 Crislan F
11 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
20 Koka
30 Alan
18 Rafa Silva
25 Pedro Tiba
92 Matheus
8 Luiz Carlos
24 Ricardo Ferreira

Boavista

12 Gideão
5 Paulo Vinicius D
2 S. Inkoom D
25 Afonso Figueiredo D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
8 Tengarrinha M
4 R. Gabriel M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
70 Zé Manuel M
7 Leozinho
77 Luisinho
Bench (7)
75 M. Uchebo
10 Diego Lima
42 I. Mandiang
1 Mika
11 C. Pouga
23 Nuno Henrique
6 Anderson Correia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.