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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Monaco
S U U
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%
3 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 11. · Paris SG 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reims 4 3 0 1 +4 9
2 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Rennes 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Angers 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 St Etienne 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Nantes 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Caen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 Nice 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Lille 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Toulouse 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
16 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Troyes 4 0 3 1 -6 3
18 Lorient 4 0 2 2 -4 2
19 Montpellier 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Paris SG
Half-time 0–1
57′
E. Cavani 0–1
B. Matuidi
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
66′
66′
🔁 Á. di María
↦ Lucas Moura
70′
🟨 David Luiz
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
70′
73′
E. Cavani 0–2
Z. Ibrahimovic
76′
🔁 E. Lavezzi
↦ Z. Ibrahimovic
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ Bernardo Silva
81′
81′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ M. Verratti
83′
E. Lavezzi 0–3
Á. di María
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Monaco

1 D. Subašić G
6 Ricardo Carvalho
24 A. Raggi D
21 U. Echiejile D
2 Fabinho M
28 J. Toulalan D
27 T. Lemar M
10 Bernardo Silva M
23 A. Traoré M
22 S. El Shaarawy F
9 A. Martial F
Bench (7)
11 G. Carrillo
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
20 M. Pašalić
13 Wallace
14 T. Bakayoko
16 P. Nardi
38 A. Touré

Paris SG

16 K. Trapp G
17 Maxwell D
2 Thiago Silva D
32 David Luiz D
19 S. Aurier D
14 B. Matuidi M
8 Thiago Motta M
6 M. Verratti M
7 Lucas Moura M
10 Z. Ibrahimovic F
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
11 Á. di María
22 E. Lavezzi
5 Marquinhos
4 B. Stambouli
23 G. van der Wiel
25 A. Rabiot
30 S. Sirigu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.