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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Bordeaux
T U U
2–0
Full-time
Nantes
S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
1,7
0,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
1,7
0,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 17. · Nantes 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reims 4 3 0 1 +4 9
2 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Rennes 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Angers 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 St Etienne 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Caen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Nice 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Lille 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Toulouse 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +2 3
15 Guingamp 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Troyes 4 0 3 1 -6 3
17 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Lorient 4 0 2 2 -4 2
19 Montpellier 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Nantes
Clément Chantôme 🟨
22′
Enzo Crivelli 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Léo Dubois
45′
🟨 Ermir Lenjani
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Gomis
↦ V. Rongier
46′
🔁 E. Sala
↦ A. Thomasson
1–0 W. Khazri ⚽
E. Crivelli
47′
51′
🟨 Ermir Lenjani
51′
🟥 Ermir Lenjani
Cédric Yambéré 🟨
54′
I. Thelin 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
62′
63′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ K. Sigþórsson
65′
🟨 Birama Toure
A. Biyogo Poko 🔁
↦ N. Maurice-Belay
72′
D. Rolan 🔁
↦ W. Khazri
81′
2–0 M. Gajić ⚽
D. Rolan
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

16 C. Carrasso G
5 N. Pallois D
29 M. Poundjé D
21 C. Yamberé D
19 N. Maurice-Belay M
11 C. Chantôme M
24 W. Khazri F
2 M. Gajić D
10 H. Saivet M
13 T. Touré F
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
12 I. Thelin
17 A. Biyogo Poko
9 D. Rolan
30 J. Prior
20 Jussiê
26 F. Guilbert
7 A. Traoré

Nantes

1 R. Riou
26 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
21 J. Audel F
18 L. Deaux M
7 A. Bedoya M
5 E. Lenjani D
12 Birama Touré M
28 V. Rongier M
9 K. Sigþórsson F
8 A. Thomasson M
Bench (7)
6 R. Gomis
22 E. Sala
10 Y. Bammou
30 M. Dupé
36 E. Kwateng
4 O. Vizcarrondo
20 J. Iloki

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.