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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Andre Cardoso Antunes
Pacos Ferreira
S U
1–1
Full-time
Arouca
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Arouca
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1 Shots 1
1 Shots on target 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 8. · Arouca 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 Arouca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Vitoria Setubal 3 1 2 0 +4 5
5 Rio Ave 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Pacos Ferreira 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 U. Madeira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Nacional 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Estoril 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Belenenses 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Moreirense 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Academica 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Arouca
1–0 Bruno Moreira ⚽
3′
Hélder Lopes 🟨
27′
32′
🔁 Maurides
↦ Artur Moreira
34′
⚽ Nuno Valente 1–1
Miguel Vieira 🔁
↦ Hélder Lopes
41′
Pelé 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
Paraiba 🔁
↦ Roniel
46′
João Silva 🔁
↦ Bruno Moreira
50′
53′
🟨 David Simao
65′
🔁 Caio
↦ David Simão
78′
🟨 Roberto
80′
🔁 Nildo Petrolina
↦ Roberto
83′
🟨 Sema Velázquez
84′
🟨 Nuno Coelho
Edson Farias 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Nuno Valente
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

28 Marafona
13 João Góis D
6 Fábio Cardoso D
25 Pelé M
2 Marco Baixinho D
5 Hélder Lopes D
8 Christian M
18 Diogo Jota F
20 Andrézinho M
11 Bruno Moreira F
7 Roniel F
Bench (7)
22 Miguel Vieira
12 Paraiba
21 João Silva
27 Rodrigo Antônio
16 B. Osei
1 Rafael Defendi
10 Minhoca

Arouca

1 Rafael Bracalli G
4 J. Velázquez
66 Nuno Coelho M
6 Lucas Lima D
3 Hugo Basto D
13 Jaílson D
7 Artur Moreira M
8 David Simão M
50 Nuno Valente M
17 Roberto F
11 Ivo Rodrigues M
Bench (7)
99 Maurides
19 Caio
30 Nildo Petrolina
5 Borja López
85 Rui Sacramento
16 Tomás Dabó
22 Adilson Goiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tiago Andre Cardoso Antunes · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.