← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Guimaraes
T U U
1–0
Full-time
Tondela
T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Guimaraes Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 16. · Tondela 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Benfica 4 3 0 1 +10 9
3 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Arouca 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +3 6
6 Nacional 4 2 0 2 +1 6
7 Estoril 4 2 0 2 -3 6
8 Maritimo 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Rio Ave 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 U. Madeira 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Boavista 3 1 1 1 -3 4
14 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Belenenses 4 0 3 1 -6 3
16 Guimaraes 3 0 2 1 -3 2
17 Moreirense 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Academica 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Tondela
0–1 Bruno Nascimento ⚽
own goal
12′
19′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Luís Tinoco
29′
🟨 Lucas Souza
Half-time 0–1
Henrique Dourado 🟨
49′
56′
🔁 Raphael Guzzo
↦ Lucas Souza
Bouba Saré 🟨
57′
68′
🟨 Luis Alberto
73′
🔁 C. Amado
↦ Edu Machado
Licá 🔁
↦ Valente
75′
Tozé 🟨
79′
João Vigário 🔁
↦ Tómané
82′
Cafú 🔁
↦ Tozé
87′
90′
🟨 Luís Machado
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

1 Douglas Jesus G
3 Josué Sá D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
15 João Afonso D
66 Breno D
99 B. Saré M
70 Tozé M
10 S. Montoya M
89 Henrique Dourado F
9 Tómané F
7 Valente M
Bench (7)
11 Licá
33 João Vigário
26 Cafú
2 Pedrão
13 Assis
18 Ricardo Gomes
58 João Pedro

Tondela

12 M. Jones
4 Kaká D
24 Luís Tinoco
2 Bruno Nascimento D
20 Luis Alberto M
21 Edu Machado D
6 Lucas Souza M
41 Hélder Tavares M
11 Nathan Junior F
7 Luís Machado M
45 Romário Baldé F
Bench (7)
17 Nuno Santos
30 Raphael Guzzo
9 C. Amado
1 Claudio Ramos
5 M. Berger
27 Bruno Monteiro
89 Salva Chamorro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.