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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Genk
T U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 7. · Anderlecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 6 5 0 1 +10 15
2 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +3 12
3 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Kortrijk 7 3 2 2 +0 11
5 Gent 4 3 1 0 +6 10
6 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Genk 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
10 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -2 7
11 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -5 7
12 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
13 Lokeren 6 2 0 4 -4 6
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 2 0 5 -5 6
15 Beveren 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Westerlo 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Anderlecht
26′
🟨 Uroš Spajić
Omar Colley 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Wilfred Ndidi 🟨
53′
56′
🔁 Capel
↦ A. Chipciu
60′
🔁 H. Harbaoui
↦ S. Badji
Alejandro Pozuelo 🟨
64′
64′
K. Mbodji 0–1
U. Spajić
Alejandro Pozuelo 🟨
67′
Alejandro Pozuelo 🟥
67′
69′
🟨 Nicolae Stanciu
Thomas Buffel 🟨
73′
76′
H. Harbaoui 0–2
Capel
D. Vanzeir 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
81′
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ T. Sušić
87′
87′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ Ł. Teodorczyk
Omar Colley 🟨
88′
Omar Colley 🟥
88′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ T. Buffel
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
4 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
10 T. Sušić M
24 Pozuelo M
7 N. Karelis F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
16 D. Vanzeir
8 B. Kumordzi
14 L. Trossard
5 S. Walsh
30 N. Jackers
6 S. Dewaest
28 B. Heynen

Coach: P. Maes

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
1 D. Roef G
3 O. Deschacht D
4 K. Mbodji D
5 U. Spajić D
11 A. Chipciu F
94 S. Hanni M
73 N. Stanciu M
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 S. Badji M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
18 F. Acheampong M
Bench (7)
17 Capel
9 H. Harbaoui
10 M. Bruno
14 B. Nuytinck
22 I. Doumbia
23 F. Boeckx
41 E. Sowah Adjei

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.