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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Viking

T S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,38 xG 1,20

68% Possession 32%

15 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 9. · Fredrikstad 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+8	+3.5	9
2	Molde	4	3	0	1	+6	+4.2	9
3	Stromsgodset	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.1	9
4	Brann	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
5	Odd	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.7	7
6	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.4	6
7	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.8	6
8	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
9	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
10	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.3	4
11	Lillestrom	3	1	0	2	-4	-1.2	3
12	KFUM Oslo	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.5	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
15	Ham-Kam	5	0	1	4	-4	-1.6	1
16	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.2	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
3	Viking	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Brann	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
7	Kristiansund	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Odd	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
10	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
11	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
13	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
14	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.3	0
15	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.5	6
2	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.8	6
3	Odd	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.4	6
4	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.1	6
5	Brann	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
7	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Molde	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
10	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.5	1
12	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.0	1
13	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.4	1
14	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.