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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Charleroi

S U T U S

1–0

Full-time

Eupen

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 17%

19%

15%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,68 xG 0,49

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 12. · Eupen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	24	16	3	5	+23	+25.7	51
2	Club Brugge	24	15	5	4	+38	+35.0	50
3	Anderlecht	24	15	5	4	+21	+11.0	50
4	Cercle Brugge	24	15	4	5	+22	+10.1	49
5	Genk	23	12	8	3	+23	+27.2	44
6	Antwerp	24	11	7	6	+24	+18.3	40
7	Gent	23	11	7	5	+20	+17.4	40
8	Mechelen	24	11	5	8	+4	+3.2	38
9	St Truiden	24	7	7	10	-14	-14.1	28
10	Standard	24	5	10	9	-9	-12.4	25
11	RWD Molenbeek	27	6	7	14	-31	-31.9	25
12	Charleroi	26	5	8	13	-21	-15.2	23
13	Westerlo	24	5	7	12	-12	-11.5	22
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	24	5	7	12	-13	-8.7	22
15	Kortrijk	27	4	5	18	-37	-24.7	17
16	Eupen	26	4	3	19	-38	-29.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	12	10	1	1	+15	+9.1	31
2	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+26	+19.0	30
3	Cercle Brugge	12	8	2	2	+16	+8.4	26
4	St. Gilloise	12	8	2	2	+14	+13.6	26
5	Gent	12	7	4	1	+17	+12.0	25
6	Genk	12	7	4	1	+14	+18.1	25
7	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+9	+7.1	22
8	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+20	+15.2	21
9	St Truiden	12	5	4	3	-1	-1.1	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	3	5	+3	-3.5	18
11	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
12	Standard	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.2	15
13	Westerlo	12	4	2	6	-4	-3.4	14
14	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-6	-1.2	14
15	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-13	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	14	2	3	9	-14	-8.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	8	1	3	+9	+12.1	25
2	Cercle Brugge	12	7	2	3	+6	+1.6	23
3	Club Brugge	12	6	2	4	+12	+16.0	20
4	Genk	11	5	4	2	+9	+9.1	19
5	Anderlecht	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.9	19
6	Antwerp	13	5	4	4	+4	+3.0	19
7	Mechelen	12	5	1	6	-5	-3.9	16
8	Gent	11	4	3	4	+3	+5.4	15
9	Standard	13	1	7	5	-12	-12.6	10
10	St Truiden	12	2	3	7	-13	-13.1	9
11	Charleroi	13	2	3	8	-15	-13.9	9
12	RWD Molenbeek	14	2	3	9	-21	-19.6	9
13	Westerlo	12	1	5	6	-8	-8.1	8
14	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-16	-5.2	4
16	Eupen	13	1	1	11	-25	-17.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.