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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Hannover
U U S U U
1–2
Full-time
St Pauli
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
38%
55%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
62%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
62%
66%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 5. · St Pauli 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 30 19 4 7 +26 61
2 St Pauli 29 16 9 4 +22 57
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 16 7 7 +29 55
4 Hamburg 30 14 7 9 +13 49
5 Hannover 29 11 12 6 +15 45
6 Hertha 29 12 8 9 +12 44
7 Karlsruhe 29 11 10 8 +15 43
8 Paderborn 30 12 7 11 -3 43
9 Greuther Furth 30 12 6 12 -3 42
10 Elversberg 30 11 7 12 -8 40
11 Nurnberg 30 10 7 13 -18 37
12 Schalke 04 30 10 6 14 -10 36
13 Braunschweig 30 10 4 16 -8 34
14 Magdeburg 29 8 9 12 -6 33
15 Wehen 30 8 8 14 -9 32
16 Hansa Rostock 29 9 4 16 -21 31
17 Kaiserslautern 30 8 6 16 -13 30
18 Osnabruck 30 5 9 16 -33 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover St Pauli
41′
O. Afolayan 0–1
C. Metcalfe
1–1 L. Gindorf
45′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🟨 Oladapo Afolayan
65′
J. Eggestein 1–2
M. Hartel
M. Ndikom 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
73′
S. Ernst 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
73′
77′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
78′
🔁 A. Dźwigała
↦ O. Afolayan
C. Teuchert 🔁
↦ B. Ezeh
80′
K. Oudenne 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
80′
91′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ J. Eggestein
92′
🔁 E. Saad
↦ M. Hartel
93′
🟨 Etienne Amenyido
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
5 P. Neumann D
23 M. Halstenberg D
20 J. Dehm D
21 S. Muroya M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
37 B. Ezeh M
11 L. Schaub F
9 N. Tresoldi F
25 L. Gindorf F
Bench (8)
28 M. Ndikom
10 S. Ernst
36 C. Teuchert
29 K. Oudenne
13 M. Christiansen
34 Y. Lührs
31 J. Börner
30 L. Weinkauf

Coach: S. Leitl

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
4 D. Nemeth D
5 H. Wahl D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
36 A. Kemlein M
24 C. Metcalfe M
17 O. Afolayan F
11 J. Eggestein F
10 M. Hartel F
Bench (9)
25 A. Dźwigała
26 E. Saad
14 E. Amenyido
15 D. Sinani
35 E. da Silva Moreira
19 A. Albers
32 T. Scheller
20 E. Ahlstrand
30 S. Burchert

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U
3,36
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.