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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Gent
T U S T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
4,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 28
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 13. · Antwerp 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Kortrijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
5 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 1 0 1 -2 3
7 Beveren 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Mechelen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Genk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Antwerp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lokeren 2 0 0 2 -5 0
16 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Antwerp
13′
🟨 Geoffry Hairemans
29′
🟨 Joerie Dequevy
37′
⚽ R. Jaadi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Gigot 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
46′
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
46′
49′
🟨 Dino Arslanagic
55′
🟨 Sinan Bolat
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
66′
71′
🔁 W. Owusu
↦ R. Jaadi
Samuel Gigot 🟨
87′
Dylan Bronn 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Obbi Oulare
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
20 Y. Thoelen G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
11 D. Machado D
22 D. Bronn D
77 D. Miličević F
19 B. Dejaegere F
6 B. Verstraete M
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
2 S. Gigot
18 S. Kalu
7 K. Coulibaly
29 T. De Smet
25 D. Marcq
24 N. Raskin
38 S. Horemans
33 L. Verstraete
28 A. Koita

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
23 F. Duplus D
15 D. Arslanagic D
25 A. Corryn D
21 D. Batubinsika D
38 F. Haroun M
11 J. Dequevy F
20 G. Hairemans M
6 I. Koné M
7 R. Jaadi F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (8)
19 W. Owusu
10 F. Camus
9 S. Limbombe
27 Z. Randriambololona
5 J. Vansteenkiste
17 Mamoutou N'Diaye
8 Ivo Rodrigues
12 A. Ježina

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.