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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Ajax

S S U T S

4–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,1

0,7

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

25 Shots 6

14 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 12

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 5. · Sparta Rotterdam 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+10	15
3	Zwolle	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
5	Ajax	7	4	1	2	+9	13
6	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
7	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	0	3	-1	12
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
11	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Twente	7	2	0	5	-1	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Roda	7	1	0	6	-10	3
18	Willem II	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Roda	5	1	0	4	-6	3
13	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
14	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.