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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Genk

S S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 6/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 81%

83%

78%

Average goals

4,3

3,6

Scored

2,3

1,9

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

20 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	5	2	2	+2	17
2	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+9	16
3	St Truiden	9	5	1	3	+0	16
4	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Antwerp	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Charleroi	6	4	2	0	+6	14
7	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+3	14
8	Beveren	9	3	3	3	+7	12
9	Lokeren	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Genk	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Mechelen	10	1	5	4	-3	8
13	Eupen	10	1	3	6	-15	6
14	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Oostende	9	1	2	6	-8	5
16	Gent	6	1	1	4	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Charleroi	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Beveren	5	2	1	2	+5	7
5	Waregem	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Mechelen	6	1	3	2	+0	6
9	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Kortrijk	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Eupen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Standard	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Oostende	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	5	3	1	1	+0	10
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Lokeren	5	2	0	3	+0	6
8	Beveren	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Oostende	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Gent	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Standard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Mechelen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Eupen	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.