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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Cercle Brugge
U S U
3–1
Full-time
Waregem
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 13
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 7. · Waregem 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Genk 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Waregem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
6 Standard 3 1 2 0 +3 5
7 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Gent 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Charleroi 3 1 0 2 +1 3
10 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 3
11 Oostende 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Beveren 3 0 2 1 -3 2
13 Kortrijk 3 0 1 2 -6 1
14 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -8 1
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 0 0 4 -5 0
16 Eupen 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Waregem
Johanna Ochieng Omolo 🟨
22′
1–0 Johanna Ochieng Omolo ⚽
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mamadou Sylla
↦ Nill De Pauw
54′
⚽ Hamdi Harbaoui 1–1
Kevin Hoggas 🔁
↦ Johanna Ochieng Omolo
69′
Xavier Mercier 🔁
↦ Adrien Bongiovanni
69′
2–1 Gianni Bruno ⚽
73′
Jeremy Taravel 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Erdin Demir
Naomichi Ueda 🔁
↦ Dylan de Belder
81′
Abud Omar 🟨
84′
Xavier Mercier 🟨
89′
3–1 Gianni Bruno ⚽
90′
90′
🔁 Florian Tardieu
↦ Damien Marcq
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

1 Paul Nardi G
8 Lloyd Palun D
4 Jeremy Taravel D
19 Benjamin Lambot D
30 Abud Omar D
15 Johanna Ochieng Omolo M
5 Isaac Kone M
21 Arnaud Lusamba M
27 Adrien Bongiovanni F
9 Gianni Bruno F
12 Dylan de Belder F
Bench (7)
16 Miguel Van Damme
24 Naomichi Ueda
29 Vitinho
28 Benjamin Delacourt
20 Kevin Hoggas
10 Xavier Mercier
11 Guevin Tormin

Coach: L. Guyot

Waregem

1 Sammy Bossut G
23 Marco Burki D
2 Davy de Fauw D
18 Erdin Demir D
6 Timothy Derijck D
10 Theo Bongonda M
8 Hicham Faik M
5 Damien Marcq M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
11 Nill De Pauw F
7 Thomas Buffel F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
24 Johan Bjørdal
14 Sandy Walsh
20 Henrik Bjørdal
22 Florian Tardieu
19 Mamadou Sylla
12 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.