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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Eupen
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
27%
86%
Points per game
0,9
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
82%
71%
Both score Ø 72%
73%
71%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4 Corners 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 13. · Anderlecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Club Brugge 8 6 2 0 +15 20
3 Gent 8 6 1 1 +12 19
4 Anderlecht 7 6 1 0 +12 19
5 Antwerp 8 6 1 1 +7 19
6 St Truiden 12 4 6 2 +3 18
7 Kortrijk 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Oostende 12 4 3 5 -7 15
9 Charleroi 12 4 2 6 -1 14
10 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
11 Cercle Brugge 12 3 4 5 -9 13
12 Beveren 11 1 7 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 11 3 1 7 -10 10
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 1 3 8 -12 6
15 Lokeren 12 1 3 8 -13 6
16 Waregem 12 1 3 8 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Anderlecht
9′
🟨 Sven Kums
1–0 Luis Garcia
26′
2–0 Yuta Toyokawa
31′
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 Evgeny Makarenko
↦ Sebastiaan Bornauw
55′
🔁 Kenny Saief
↦ Adrien Trebel
Eric Ocansey 🔁
↦ Mamadou Fall
75′
78′
Ivan Santini 2–1
79′
🔁 Dauda Mohammed
↦ Pieter Gerkens
Samuel Essende 🔁
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
80′
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga 🟨
84′
Jordan Lotiès 🔁
↦ Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
84′
Jordan Lotiès 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eupen

5-3-2
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
3 Cheick Keita D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
44 Xavier Molina D
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani M
15 Sulayman Marreh M
10 Luis Garcia F
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
70 Mamadou Fall F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
4 Jordan Lotiès
11 Megan Laurent
6 Remi Mulumba
77 Danijel Miličević
28 Eric Ocansey
23 Samuel Essende

Coach: C. Makélélé

Anderlecht

3-4-3
16 Thomas Didillon G
3 Jamie Lawrence D
4 Bubacarr Sanneh D
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
7 Andy Najar D
25 Adrien Trebel M
20 Sven Kums M
40 Francis Amuzu F
8 Pieter Gerkens M
19 Ivan Santini F
11 Knowledge Musona F
Bench (8)
1 Frank Boeckx
44 Antonio Milić
55 Ognjen Vranješ
12 Dennis Appiah
5 Evgeny Makarenko
15 Kenny Saief
38 Dauda Mohammed
60 Ciryack Olivier Dhauholou

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.