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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
2–0
Full-time
Eupen
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Corners 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Eupen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Genk 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 Mechelen 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Mouscron 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Oostende 5 3 0 2 +0 9
8 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
9 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
13 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 St Truiden 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 Anderlecht 6 0 3 3 -4 3
16 Eupen 6 0 3 3 -10 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 5 0 1 4 -10 1
18 Beveren 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen
22′
🟨 Menno Koch
1–0 S. Allagui
22′
23′
🟨 Jordi Amat
Jonah Osabutey 🟨
32′
A. Ciranni 🔁
↦ Joan Campins
34′
45′
🟨 Jon Bautista
Half-time 1–0
Bruno Godeau 🟨
50′
57′
🔁 Rocha Miramar
↦ Jon Bautista
B. Van Durmen 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
62′
Nathan De Medina 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 N. Schouterden
↦ M. Koch
87′
🔁 F. Ciampichetti
↦ S. Gnaka
N. Antonov 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
92′
2–0 J. Osabutey
N. Antonov
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

3-5-2
1 J. Butez G
25 R. Pietrzak D
31 B. Godeau D
22 Joan Campins D
4 N. De Medina D
6 D. Hočko M
10 M. Bakić M
15 F. Boya M
9 S. Allagui F
7 F. Olinga F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
13 A. Ciranni
30 B. Van Durmen
3 N. Antonov
27 A. Ippolito
11 D. Mohamed
32 Jonathan Buatu
90 V. Vasić

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Eupen

4-4-2
1 O. De Wolf G
32 A. Beck D
22 S. Blondelle D
5 Jordi Amat D
3 M. Koch D
24 S. Gnaka D
26 J. Cools M
6 S. Marreh M
10 J. Amani M
20 Y. Toyokawa F
21 Jon Bautista F
Bench (7)
97 Rocha Miramar
18 N. Schouterden
9 F. Ciampichetti
11 M. Laurent
4 Xavi Molina
8 Adrián Lapeña
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.