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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Lillestrom
T U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 35%
63%
6%
Points per game
2,1
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Kristiansund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 19 14 3 2 +22 45
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 12 5 3 +30 41
3 Lillestrom 19 12 4 3 +19 40
4 Rosenborg 19 10 7 2 +15 37
5 Valerenga 19 9 3 7 +4 30
6 Viking 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Stromsgodset 19 8 5 6 +4 29
8 Odd 19 7 2 10 -13 23
9 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 -2 22
10 Sandefjord 20 6 4 10 -11 22
11 Tromso 18 4 9 5 -7 21
12 Aalesund 19 5 6 8 -9 21
13 Ham-Kam 19 3 11 5 -1 20
14 Sarpsborg 08 19 6 1 12 -4 19
15 Jerv 20 4 2 14 -32 14
16 Kristiansund 18 1 3 14 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Kristiansund
Lars Ranger 🟨
2′
17′
🟨 Max Normann Williamsen
1–0 H. Friðjónsson
Y. Ibrahimaj
23′
Half-time 1–1
54′
M. Williamsen 1–1
S. Nilsen
62′
🔁 H. Gjesdal
↦ M. Williamsen
T. Olsen 🔁
↦ H. Friðjónsson
66′
76′
🔁 B. Willumsson
↦ F. Moumbagna
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
81′
P. Helland 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
81′
C. Rösler 🔁
↦ T. Pettersson
89′
93′
🔁 L. Kalludra
↦ S. Kartum
93′
🔁 A. Askar
↦ T. Gjertsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-2-1
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen M
6 K. Kairinen M
14 M. Knudsen F
21 H. Friðjónsson F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (6)
10 T. Olsen
16 M. Lundemo
7 P. Helland
3 C. Rösler
33 H. Skogvold
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Kristiansund

3-4-1-2
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
6 A. Hopmark D
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen D
21 A. Diop M
8 S. Kartum F
14 J. Isaksen M
13 B. Bye F
7 T. Gjertsen M
29 F. Moumbagna F
Bench (7)
4 H. Gjesdal
17 B. Willumsson
10 L. Kalludra
23 A. Askar
15 M. Rakneberg
24 D. Agbo
30 M. Mbaye

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.