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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
3–0
Full-time
Paderborn
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 12. · Paderborn 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Magdeburg 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Paderborn 8 4 4 0 +7 16
4 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 0 +5 16
5 Hannover 9 5 1 3 +4 16
6 Hamburg 8 4 3 1 +11 15
7 Hertha 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Elversberg 9 3 4 2 +5 13
9 FC Koln 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Greuther Furth 8 2 4 2 +3 10
11 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Kaiserslautern 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ulm 8 2 1 5 -2 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Regensburg 9 1 1 7 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Paderborn
Afeez Aremu 🟨
25′
1–0 R. Ache
30′
Filip Kaloč 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Laurin Curda
Half-time 1–0
M. Ritter 🔁
↦ F. Kaloč
58′
Leon Robinson 🔁
↦ A. Aremu
65′
F. Ronstadt 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
65′
69′
🔁 I. Ansah
↦ K. Kostons
69′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ S. Michel
76′
🟨 Luca Herrmann
80′
🔁 M. Baur
↦ S. Klaas
80′
🔁 A. Bäuerle
↦ L. Herrmann
R. Tachie 🔁
↦ R. Ache
81′
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ J. Heuer
82′
2–0 L. Sirch
87′
88′
🔁 L. Engelns
↦ S. Castañeda
3–0 M. Ritter
D. Yokota
90′
Tobias Raschl 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Laurin Curda
94′
🟥 Laurin Curda
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
31 L. Sirch D
24 J. Heuer D
8 J. Zimmer M
23 A. Aremu M
26 F. Kaloč M
3 F. Kleinhansl M
41 D. Yokota F
19 D. Hanslik F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
7 M. Ritter
37 Leon Robinson
27 F. Ronstadt
29 R. Tachie
20 T. Raschl
13 E. Wekesser
30 A. Spahić
10 P. Klement
18 J. Mause

Coach: M. Anfang

Paderborn

3-1-4-2
1 P. Boevink G
17 L. Curda D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
5 S. Castañeda M
19 L. Herrmann M
10 K. Kostons M
26 S. Klaas M
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
29 I. Ansah
39 A. Grimaldi
9 M. Baur
21 A. Bäuerle
46 L. Engelns
25 T. Scheller
8 D. Kinsombi
30 M. Schubert
33 M. Hoffmeier

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,70
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.