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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Sturm Graz

T U S T S

5–2

Full-time

Grazer AK

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,1

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

44%

78%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

30 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

11 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · Grazer AK 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	6	1	2	+9	19
2	SK Rapid	9	5	3	1	+3	18
3	BW Linz	9	4	2	3	-1	14
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	1	4	+5	13
5	Salzburg	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Austria Vienna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
8	A. Klagenfurt	8	3	2	3	-5	11
9	LASK	9	3	1	5	-1	10
10	Tirol	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Altach	9	2	2	5	-3	8
12	Grazer AK	9	0	4	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Sturm Graz	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Austria Vienna	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	BW Linz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Wolfsberger AC	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	LASK	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Altach	5	1	1	3	-1	4
11	Tirol	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
2	Salzburg	5	2	1	2	-4	7
3	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+3	6
4	Tirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
5	A. Klagenfurt	4	2	0	2	-5	6
6	SK Rapid	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	BW Linz	5	1	2	2	-5	5
8	Hartberg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	LASK	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Altach	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Austria Vienna	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	Grazer AK	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.