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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Sarpsborg 08

S U S S S

2–3

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,01 xG 1,63

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Stromsgodset 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	0	1	+2	+4.3	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	+5.5	10
3	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+6	-3.0	10
4	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+4	+4.3	10
5	Viking	4	3	0	1	+5	+4.1	9
6	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.2	7
7	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.2	7
8	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
9	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	-3	+0.8	6
10	Stromsgodset	4	1	0	3	+2	-2.2	3
11	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.1	3
12	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.1	3
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.5	3
14	Ham-Kam	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.8	3
15	Molde	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.1	2
16	Haugesund	4	0	1	3	-8	-8.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+7	-1.2	9
2	Brann	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.0	9
3	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
4	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.3	6
5	Viking	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
6	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.6	4
7	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
11	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.3	3
12	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
13	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
14	Molde	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
16	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
3	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
4	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
5	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.0	3
6	Viking	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
7	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
8	Brann	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.2	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
10	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
11	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
12	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-3	-5.5	0
14	Sandefjord	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
15	KFUM Oslo	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0
16	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.