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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Kayserispor

T S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Rizespor

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

30%

37%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

47%

57%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,29 xG 0,62

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 8

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 13. · Rizespor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	24	5	1	+44	+30.1	77
2	Fenerbahce	31	23	6	2	+49	+40.6	75
3	Samsunspor	32	16	6	10	+9	+6.4	54
4	Besiktas	31	14	10	7	+16	+19.6	52
5	Eyüpspor	31	14	8	9	+15	+3.3	50
6	Buyuksehyr	30	14	6	10	+10	+5.2	48
7	Trabzonspor	31	12	9	10	+13	+0.2	45
8	Konyaspor	32	12	7	13	-3	-3.4	43
9	Kasimpasa	31	10	12	9	-2	+0.8	42
10	Gaziantep	31	12	6	13	-2	-10.5	42
11	Goztep	30	10	10	10	+9	+16.8	40
12	Antalyaspor	31	11	7	13	-21	-14.0	40
13	Kayserispor	30	9	10	11	-11	-2.2	37
14	Rizespor	30	11	4	15	-13	+4.2	37
15	Sivasspor	32	9	7	16	-10	-16.5	34
16	Alanyaspor	31	9	7	15	-11	-3.4	34
17	Bodrumspor	32	9	7	16	-13	-6.3	34
18	Hatayspor	31	4	7	20	-29	-29.9	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	31	2	4	25	-50	-41.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	3	0	+23	+22.9	39
2	Fenerbahce	15	12	2	1	+23	+20.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	10	4	2	+20	+6.6	34
4	Gaziantep	16	10	3	3	+11	+0.8	33
5	Goztep	15	9	5	1	+19	+18.0	32
6	Besiktas	16	10	2	4	+10	+13.9	32
7	Buyuksehyr	16	9	4	3	+15	+8.0	31
8	Eyüpspor	15	9	3	3	+16	+7.0	30
9	Antalyaspor	15	9	3	3	+2	-0.5	30
10	Konyaspor	16	8	5	3	+7	+5.8	29
11	Sivasspor	17	7	5	5	+7	-4.0	26
12	Samsunspor	15	8	2	5	+6	+10.3	26
13	Alanyaspor	15	7	3	5	+3	+5.4	24
14	Rizespor	15	6	4	5	+0	+11.0	22
15	Kayserispor	15	6	4	5	-1	+2.9	22
16	Kasimpasa	15	5	6	4	+0	+4.3	21
17	Bodrumspor	16	5	4	7	+0	-0.1	19
18	Hatayspor	16	3	5	8	-7	-9.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-13.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	2	1	+21	+7.2	38
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	4	1	+26	+20.0	37
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Kasimpasa	16	5	6	5	-2	-3.6	21
5	Besiktas	15	4	8	3	+6	+5.8	20
6	Eyüpspor	16	5	5	6	-1	-3.7	20
7	Buyuksehyr	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.8	17
8	Kayserispor	15	3	6	6	-10	-5.1	15
9	Rizespor	15	5	0	10	-13	-6.7	15
10	Bodrumspor	16	4	3	9	-13	-6.2	15
11	Konyaspor	16	4	2	10	-10	-9.2	14
12	Trabzonspor	15	2	5	8	-7	-6.4	11
13	Alanyaspor	16	2	4	10	-14	-8.7	10
14	Antalyaspor	16	2	4	10	-23	-13.5	10
15	Gaziantep	15	2	3	10	-13	-11.3	9
16	Goztep	15	1	5	9	-10	-1.3	8
17	Sivasspor	15	2	2	11	-17	-12.5	8
18	Hatayspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-20.3	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	1	2	13	-28	-27.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.