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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Sturm Graz

U S S S T

0–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 61%

63%

59%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

70%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

52%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 21

6 Yellow cards 5

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · Austria Vienna 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	27	17	5	5	+27	56
2	Austria Vienna	27	16	5	6	+16	53
3	LASK	28	15	4	9	+14	49
4	Wolfsberger AC	28	14	6	8	+20	48
5	Salzburg	28	13	9	6	+14	48
6	SK Rapid	28	10	8	10	+1	38
7	BW Linz	28	11	4	13	-4	37
8	Hartberg	28	8	10	10	-4	34
9	Tirol	28	6	8	14	-15	26
10	A. Klagenfurt	28	6	7	15	-33	25
11	Altach	28	5	8	15	-15	23
12	Grazer AK	28	4	10	14	-21	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	10	2	1	+24	32
2	Austria Vienna	14	10	2	2	+13	32
3	SK Rapid	14	9	2	3	+13	29
4	Salzburg	14	8	4	2	+16	28
5	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+11	24
6	BW Linz	14	8	0	6	+5	24
7	LASK	14	7	2	5	+8	23
8	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
9	Tirol	14	3	6	5	-5	15
10	A. Klagenfurt	14	3	5	6	-6	14
11	Altach	14	2	6	6	-2	12
12	Grazer AK	14	2	5	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	14	8	2	4	+6	26
2	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+9	24
3	Sturm Graz	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Austria Vienna	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Salzburg	14	5	5	4	-2	20
6	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
7	BW Linz	14	3	4	7	-9	13
8	Tirol	14	3	2	9	-10	11
9	Grazer AK	14	2	5	7	-12	11
10	Altach	14	3	2	9	-13	11
11	A. Klagenfurt	14	3	2	9	-27	11
12	SK Rapid	14	1	6	7	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.