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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Lechner

Hamburg

S U S T U

1–2

Full-time

Karlsruhe

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

47%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

73%

67%

Both score Ø 69%

67%

70%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Karlsruhe 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	30	16	6	8	+11	54
2	Hamburg	30	14	11	5	+27	53
3	Magdeburg	31	13	11	7	+16	50
4	Elversberg	31	13	10	8	+21	49
5	Paderborn	31	13	10	8	+10	49
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	13	10	8	+5	49
7	Kaiserslautern	30	13	7	10	+3	46
8	Nurnberg	31	13	6	12	+3	45
9	Karlsruhe	30	12	8	10	-2	44
10	Hannover	30	11	10	9	+3	43
11	Hertha	31	11	7	13	-1	40
12	Darmstadt	31	10	9	12	+4	39
13	Schalke 04	30	10	8	12	-4	38
14	Greuther Furth	31	9	8	14	-14	35
15	Braunschweig	31	8	10	13	-20	34
16	Ulm	31	6	11	14	-6	29
17	Preußen Münster	31	6	11	14	-10	29
18	Regensburg	31	6	5	20	-46	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Elversberg	16	8	3	5	+11	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+11	27
4	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+7	27
5	Karlsruhe	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+10	26
7	Nurnberg	15	8	2	5	+5	26
8	Darmstadt	15	7	4	4	+11	25
9	Paderborn	16	7	3	6	+6	24
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	6	5	5	+0	23
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Regensburg	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Schalke 04	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-5	20
15	Magdeburg	15	4	7	4	+2	19
16	Ulm	15	4	4	7	+0	16
17	Preußen Münster	16	3	7	6	-2	16
18	Hertha	15	3	4	8	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	16	9	4	3	+14	31
2	Hertha	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	5	3	+5	26
5	Hamburg	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Paderborn	15	6	7	2	+4	25
7	Elversberg	15	5	7	3	+10	22
8	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-7	20
9	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
10	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-6	17
12	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Greuther Furth	15	4	3	8	-9	15
14	Darmstadt	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-6	13
16	Preußen Münster	15	3	4	8	-8	13
17	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-19	12
18	Regensburg	15	0	1	14	-41	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.