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Eliteserien

Referee: S Moen

Sarpsborg 08

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

5,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

3,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

41%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 56%

71%

41%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,46 xG 1,51

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Stromsgodset 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	13	2	3	+24	+6.8	41
2	Viking	17	12	2	3	+15	+1.2	38
3	Tromso	17	11	3	3	+11	+1.4	36
4	Molde	18	10	3	5	+20	+8.1	33
5	Brann	18	9	3	6	+7	-2.9	30
6	Lillestrom	17	9	2	6	+7	+5.6	29
7	Odd	18	7	4	7	+2	+1.7	25
8	Rosenborg	18	7	4	7	-2	+1.3	25
9	Sarpsborg 08	17	7	3	7	-2	+0.1	24
10	Stromsgodset	17	6	2	9	-2	-3.9	20
11	Haugesund	17	5	3	9	-9	-2.1	18
12	Sandefjord	17	4	5	8	-8	-9.9	17
13	Stabaek	17	4	4	9	-12	+0.8	16
14	Ham-Kam	17	5	1	11	-19	-5.5	16
15	Valerenga	16	4	2	10	-8	-2.7	14
16	Aalesund	17	3	1	13	-24	-0.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	7	1	1	+13	+0.5	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	-0.5	20
4	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
5	Lillestrom	9	6	0	3	+9	+4.7	18
6	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+5	+3.1	17
7	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
8	Odd	8	4	2	2	+5	+2.9	14
9	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+2	-0.8	14
10	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	1	3	+4	-0.4	13
11	Ham-Kam	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
12	Sandefjord	8	3	3	2	+7	-5.4	12
13	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
14	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
15	Aalesund	9	3	1	5	-6	+1.7	10
16	Valerenga	8	1	0	7	-9	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	0	2	+11	+4.4	21
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	8	5	1	2	+2	+0.8	16
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+5	+3.6	14
5	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-2.3	11
6	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	-2	+0.9	11
7	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	2	4	-6	+0.5	11
9	Brann	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.3	10
10	Rosenborg	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.1	9
11	Stromsgodset	9	2	2	5	-4	-2.8	8
12	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
13	Haugesund	9	1	1	7	-11	-1.3	4
14	Stabaek	8	1	1	6	-14	+1.9	4
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	0	7	-17	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.