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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Watford
S U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Brighton
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -19 Brighton – Watford 0–0 11. Aug -18 Watford – Brighton 2–0 23. Dec -17 Brighton – Watford 1–0 26. Aug -17 Watford – Brighton 0–0

Match report

Watford Brighton
28′
⚽ A. Doucouré 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
46′
64′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ J. Locadia
64′
🔁 N. Maupay
↦ G. Murray
65′
⚽ F. Andone 1–1
D. Pröpper
I. Success 🔁
↦ A. Gray
75′
77′
⚽ N. Maupay 1–2
L. Dunk
88′
🟨 Lewis Dunk
92′
🔁 Bernardo
↦ S. March
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

4-2-2-2
26 B. Foster G
25 J. Holebas D
15 C. Cathcart D
21 Kiko Femenía D
4 C. Dawson D
29 E. Capoue M
16 A. Doucouré M
19 W. Hughes M
9 T. Deeney F
18 A. Gray F
7 Deulofeu M
Bench (7)
37 R. Pereyra
22 I. Success
12 K. Sema
1 Gomes
8 T. Cleverley
2 D. Janmaat
27 C. Kabasele

Coach: Javi Gracia

Brighton

3-4-3
1 M. Ryan G
4 S. Duffy D
33 D. Burn D
5 L. Dunk D
22 Martín Montoya M
6 D. Stephens M
13 P. Groß F
24 D. Pröpper M
20 S. March M
17 G. Murray F
9 J. Locadia F
Bench (7)
10 F. Andone
7 N. Maupay
30 Bernardo
18 A. Mooy
15 A. Webster
27 D. Button
11 L. Trossard

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
🔒
U
3,41
🔒
B ✓
4,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
U2,5
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.