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Premier League

Referee: Graham Scott

Watford

T T T U S

0–0

Full-time

Brighton

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 16

0 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 11

0 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 5. · Brighton 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Huddersfield	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Watford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Bournemouth	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.