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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
2–1
Full-time
Twente
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
88%
75%
Both score Ø 82%
75%
88%
Average goals
3,9
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 8. · Twente 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 8 6 2 0 +21 20
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 2 0 +17 20
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 1 1 +15 19
4 Vitesse 8 5 2 1 +4 17
5 Utrecht 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Heracles 9 4 2 3 -1 14
7 Feyenoord 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Twente 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Willem II 8 4 0 4 -3 12
11 Heerenveen 8 2 4 2 +2 10
12 Groningen 9 3 1 5 -2 10
13 VVV Venlo 8 3 0 5 -7 9
14 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 -7 7
15 FC Emmen 9 2 1 6 -8 7
16 Den Haag 8 2 0 6 -6 6
17 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -13 3
18 Waalwijk 9 0 1 8 -21 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
9′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
Bart Vriends 🟨
21′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Dervişoğlu
M. Rayhi
48′
51′
C. Verdonk 1–1
58′
🔁 G. Roemeratoe
↦ Oriol Busquets
L. Veldwijk 🔁
↦ R. Ache
61′
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ M. Rayhi
64′
74′
🟨 Emil Berggreen
78′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ K. Nakamura
79′
🟨 Aitor Cantalapiedra
84′
🟥 Julio Pleguezuelo
86′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ E. Berggreen
2–1 B. Smeets
B. Vriends
88′
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 T. Coremans G
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
2 D. Abels D
5 L. Faye D
10 B. Smeets M
6 D. Rigo M
7 A. Harroui M
8 M. Rayhi M
9 R. Ache F
11 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (8)
19 L. Veldwijk
15 D. Duarte
13 J. Piroe
12 K. Karami
16 A. Aberkane
20 A. Harush
14 L. Duarte
30 M. Fabrie

Coach: H. Fraser

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
3 X. Schenk D
25 P. Bijen D
4 C. Verdonk D
5 Julio Pleguezuelo D
6 W. Brama M
8 Javier Espinosa M
20 Oriol Busquets M
9 E. Berggreen F
7 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
13 K. Nakamura F
Bench (8)
29 G. Roemeratoe
11 Q. Menig
18 L. Selahi
10 H. Vučkič
14 R. Zekhnini
26 J. Brondeel
22 J. de Lange
21 G. Aburjania

Coach: Gonzalo García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
4,02
B
4,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.